continuation-threshold
Purpose
The Continuation Threshold is the affirmative gate a strategic bet must clear before the organization commits more capital at the next major checkpoint. It is the inverse of an invalidation criterion: invalidation says "stop if this fires"; the Continuation Threshold says "continue only if this holds." If the threshold is not met, the default action is to reopen the decision and route the bet back to portfolio review — not to silently continue under the original commitment.
This skill walks the user through evaluating a specific strategic bet against its Continuation Threshold at a specific point in time, and produces a structured pass / fail / reopen verdict. The threshold itself is DEFINED upstream in the bet's business case (/business-case); this skill EVALUATES whether the threshold is met when the gate fires.
Vision to Value Phase
Phase 2 → Phase 3 gate — the Continuation Threshold is the canonical evaluation that determines whether a strategic bet is permitted to advance from Strategic Decisions into Commitment. The downstream /phase-check skill consumes this skill's output to hard-gate the Phase 2 → Phase 3 transition: a Phase 3 advance is not authorized unless a current Continuation Threshold evaluation returns pass.
Prerequisites: A formulated strategic bet (/strategic-bet) with named re-decision triggers; a business case (/business-case) that defines the bet's continuation_threshold field with specific, signal-driven criteria; the bet has reached a major checkpoint where additional capital commitment is being considered.
Consumed by: /phase-check (uses the verdict to hard-gate Phase 2 → Phase 3); /portfolio-status (rolls up threshold-evaluation outcomes across the portfolio); /bet-invalidation-checkpoint (is informed by, but distinct from, threshold evaluation — invalidation tests "should this bet die?"; threshold tests "should this bet advance?").
Document Intelligence
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