Trace

Evidence-driven causal tracing using competing hypotheses. Use for ambiguous, causal, evidence-heavy questions where the goal is to explain WHY something happened.

Good Entry Cases

• Runtime bugs and regressions
• Performance / latency behavior
• Architecture / premortem / postmortem analysis
• Config / routing / orchestration behavior
• "Given this output, trace back the likely causes"

Core Contract

Always preserve: Observation → Hypotheses → Evidence For → Evidence Against → Best Explanation → Critical Unknown → Discriminating Probe