Demand Forecasting

Forecasting has two paths. Pick the right one — using a subagent when you don't need one wastes turns; skipping it when you do gives you a bad number.

Path A — compute it yourself (code execution)

Use this when all of the following hold:

• horizon ≤ 14 days
• the product's is_seasonal flag is 0
• the product's promo_next_month flag is 0
• the task doesn't mention a promo, holiday, or trend change

Then the forecast is just a rolling mean. This skill ships a script for it: